Elche were extremely lucky to win over Espanyol last time, they had 3 shots on goal vs Espanyols 11, but Pere Milla still found the net twice.
For some reason they still have Badia in goal, in my papers he is the weakest link of this weak side, and they belong to my relegation favourites even with their optimal lineup, today it is not.
Villarreal have great, perhaps the best league team - since the return of Gerard Moreno, they should had easily beaten Atletico Madrid last time but were unfortunate.
Before that they scored 5 both v Alaves and Levante - two teams better than Elche - 3 away at Sociedad, two against Vallecano and won all of them very deservedly.
This is a Valencian derby, class difference is huge, form is massive, and despite a few absentees I see Villarreal scoring +3 goals also tonight and to beat this higher handicap!